PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability0 93%+16.0%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$13.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 10.0%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-30.5%
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jun 5, 26, 11:06 PMJun 15, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Selected outcome
093%
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This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
- If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
- If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
- This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded.
- If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude.