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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Science
  3. How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 8 - June 14?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 8 - June 14?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 8 - June 14?

0.5% (24h)MonthlyScienceWeather2h
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
>9
>9 99%-0.5%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality

91 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$2.8K

Liquidity

$37.2K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

98.1% / 99.9%

Spread

1.8%

Tight spread
7d Change

+49.0%

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Jun 5, 26, 11:06 PMJun 15, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
≤3
≤3
0%
4
4
0%
5
5
0%
6
6
0%
7
7
0%

Selected outcome

>999%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
  • This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded.
  • If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude.

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How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?

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$3.9
Yes: 8%KalshiKALSHI
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$1.4K
2: 66%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
  • This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded.
  • If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude.