Current implied probability
Above 0 98%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 99.0%
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jun 1, 26, 4:00 AMJul 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Selected outcome
Above 098%
Related Markets
How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
$0.1Above 3: 62%
KALSHI
KALSHIHow many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
$0Above 5: 0%KALSHI
KALSHIHow many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
$0Above 3: 72%KALSHI
KALSHI
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$4.3K2: 63%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest monthly CO2 level at Mauna Loa in first half of 2026
$980432 or less: 0.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$234.82nd hottest: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Rules
If more than 0 hurricanes of category 3 or above occur in the Central Pacific between June 01, 2026 and June 30, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 1 hurricane of category 3 or above occur in the Central Pacific between June 01, 2026 and June 30, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 2 hurricanes of category 3 or above occur in the Central Pacific between June 01, 2026 and June 30, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 3 hurricanes of category 3 or above occur in the Central Pacific between June 01, 2026 and June 30, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 4 hurricanes of category 3 or above occur in the Central Pacific between June 01, 2026 and June 30, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 5 hurricanes of category 3 or above occur in the Central Pacific between June 01, 2026 and June 30, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.