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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Science
  3. How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?

9.5% (24h)MonthlyScienceWeather6d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
>9
>9 45%+4.5%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$1.8K

Liquidity

$19K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

11.0% / 31.0%

Spread

181.8%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jun 12, 26, 6:15 PMJun 21, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

>945%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
  • This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded.
  • If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude.

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How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?

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Number of tornadoes in Jun 2026?

Number of tornadoes in Jun 2026?

$41.1
Above 175: 84%KalshiKALSHI
This Jun 2026 is the hottest June ever?

This Jun 2026 is the hottest June ever?

$4.2
Yes: 8%KalshiKALSHI
Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Jun 2026?

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$0.3
Above 1041.5 Ft: 94%KalshiKALSHI
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$1.3K
2: 67%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$65,552.05+1.63%EthereumETH$1,719.50+2.19%SolanaSOL$71.12+3.29%BNBBNB$615.30+0.96%XRPXRP$1.18+2.83%DogecoinDOGE$0.0889+1.04%

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
  • This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded.
  • If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude.