Current implied probability
Above 1045 Ft 12%-9.0%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.3
Liquidity
$38
Low liquidityBid / Ask
9.0% / 16.0%
Spread
77.8%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
May 23, 26, 6:00 PMJul 3, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
Above 1045 Ft12%
Related Markets
Number of tornadoes in Jun 2026?
$32.2Above 225: 10%
KALSHI
KALSHI
This Jun 2026 is the hottest June ever?
$4Yes: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
How many major Central Pacific Hurricanes will there be this month?
$0Above 0: 98%KALSHI
KALSHI
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$3.6K2: 63%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest monthly CO2 level at Mauna Loa in first half of 2026
$980432 or less: 0.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$234.82nd hottest: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Rules
If Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation at Hoover Dam for Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 1041 feet, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation at Hoover Dam for Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 1041.5 feet, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation at Hoover Dam for Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 1042 feet, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation at Hoover Dam for Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 1042.5 feet, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation at Hoover Dam for Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 1043 feet, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation at Hoover Dam for Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 1043.5 feet, then the market resolves to Yes.