PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability74-75°F 51.4%+19.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.8K
Liquidity
$13.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
53.0% / 54.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 1:03 AMJul 28, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
74-75°F54%
Compare venues· 74-75°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 54% | — | $7.8K | $13.5K | 11 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi84% match · auto | Medium | 48% | — | $5.2K | $4.5K | 11 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Seattle on Jul 28, 2026?
23h
47.1%
22.6%
21.6%
+3 more outcomes
71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$5.2K
24h Vol$5.2K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$7.8kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.