PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 23°C
Resolved: Oct 27, 2026, 11:21 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 4:31 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
23°C100%
21°C16%
22°C56%
20°C16%
24°C0%
23°CWon
Before close: 100% ·
15°C or belowLost
Before close: 0% ·
16°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
17°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
18°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
19°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
20°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
21°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
22°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
24°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
25°C or higherLost
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport (LEMD) on 27 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport (LEMD) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
