PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 26°C
Resolved: Oct 31, 2026, 4:29 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
26°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
1%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 6:29 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
26°C100%
27°C17%
28°C2%
29°C27%
30°C5%
24°C0%
31°C or higher0%
21°C or below0%
22°C0%
26°CWon
21°C or belowLost
22°CLost
23°CLost
24°CLost
25°CLost
27°CLost
28°CLost
29°CLost
30°CLost
31°C or higherLost
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Taipei Songshan Airport (RCSS) on 31 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Taipei Songshan Airport (RCSS) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.