PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 21°C
Resolved: Nov 2, 2026, 10:22 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
21°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
50%
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 3, 2026, 3:11 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
21°C100%
20°C13%
22°C0%
23°C2%
26°C0%
17°C or below0%
25°C0%
21°CWon
17°C or belowLost
18°CLost
19°CLost
20°CLost
22°CLost
23°CLost
24°CLost
25°CLost
26°CLost
27°C or higherLost
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) on 2 Nov '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Cape Town International Airport (FACT) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
