Current implied probability
27°C 41.5%+8.0ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
27°C 41.5%+8.0ptMarket quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.7K
Liquidity
$43.1K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Sep 27, 26, 4:58 AM UTCSep 29, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
