PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability98-99°F 60%+18.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$16.2K
Liquidity
$17.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
58.0% / 61.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 1:04 AMJul 28, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
98-99°F60%
Compare venues· 98-99°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall84% match · auto | Medium | 59% | — | $7.4K | $6.3K | 9 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis pageMost active | Medium | 60% | — | $16.2K | $17.5K | 9 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 28, 2026?
22h
57.3%
35%
4.8%
+3 more outcomes
72 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$7.4K
24h Vol$7.4K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$16.2kJul 272d of dataJul 28
Related Markets
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 27, 2026?
$605.1K87° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 28?
$219.1K29°C: 81%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 28?
$137.7K13°C: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 28?
$109.5K30°C: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in LA on Jul 28, 2026?
$77.2K84° or above: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 27, 2026?
$55.4K68° to 69°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.