KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 29, 2026, 5:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability99° to 100° 95.2%+39.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
50 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$102.6K
Liquidity
$81.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 27, 26, 2:00 PMJul 29, 26, 5:59 AM
Trends
1%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$102.6kJul 273d of dataJul 29
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If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 97°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 97-98°, then the market resolves to Yes.