KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability98° to 99° 54.6%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$11.5K
Liquidity
$8.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Jul 28, 26, 2:00 PMJul 30, 26, 5:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
96° to 97°7%
Compare venues· 98° to 99°
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 53% | — | $11.5K | $8.9K | 24 minutes ago | |
 PolymarketMost active84% match · auto | Medium | 63% | — | $14.2K | $18.2K | 4 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Austin on July 29?
19.0 pts3h
+19.0pt61.2%
+2.5pt23.3%
-21.5pt8.7%
+8 more outcomes
71 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$16.4K
24h Vol$14.2K
POLYMARKETRules
If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 96°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 96-97°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$11.5kJul 282d of dataJul 29
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If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 96°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 96-97°, then the market resolves to Yes.