PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability98-99°F 62.8%+17.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$14.3K
Liquidity
$19.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
62.0% / 65.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jul 28, 26, 12:02 AMJul 29, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
98-99°F64%
Compare venues· 98-99°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall84% match · auto | Medium | 57% | — | $11.9K | $9.2K | 33 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis pageMost active | Medium | 64% | — | $14.3K | $19.8K | 13 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 29, 2026?
20h
54.8%
34.6%
5.8%
+3 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$11.9K
24h Vol$11.9K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$14.3kJul 282d of dataJul 29
Related Markets
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.