PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability82-83°F 36%+3.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$14.1K
Liquidity
$54.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 0.2%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 1:03 AMJul 14, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
82-83°F36%
Compare venues· 82-83°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall84% match · auto | High | 64% | — | $7.9K | $6.8K | 28 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis pageMost active | Medium | 36% | — | $14.1K | $54.1K | 14 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 14, 2026?
1d
64%
31%
5%
+3 more outcomes
77 • High qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$7.9K
24h Vol$7.9K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$14.1kJul 132d of dataJul 14
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.