PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability30°C 46%+10.5%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$31.5K
Liquidity
$47.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.2% / 4.9%
Spread
53.1%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 12, 26, 5:03 AMJul 14, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
30°C46%
Volume trend
$31.5kJul 122d of dataJul 13
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg.
- C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
- This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.