PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Neither (100%)
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 19, 2026, 10:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probabilityNeither 100%+89.5ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.1M
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Market data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleJul 16, 26, 2:53 AMJul 19, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Argentina0%
Neither100%
Spain0%
100%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Neither
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall68% match · auto | Low | 55% | — | $4.8M | $3.9M | 7 days ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $2.1M | $0 | 6 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Spain vs Argentina: First Team to Score
47.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Spain (34%)
+47.0pt52.9%
-19.0pt32.7%
-26.0pt14.4%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6M
24h Vol$4.8M
KALSHIRules
In the upcoming match between Spain and Argentina, scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
- This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
- If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither".
- This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$3.5k70.0%KALSHINo Goal — No8d ago
KALSHINo Goal — No8d ago$5.2k99.9%POLYMARKETSpain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first? — YesMoistLotion8d ago
POLYMARKETSpain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first? — YesMoistLotion8d ago$1.4k36.0%KALSHINo Goal — Yes8d ago
KALSHINo Goal — Yes8d ago$1.1k39.0%KALSHISpain — No8d ago
KALSHISpain — No8d ago$2.3k87.0%KALSHIArgentina — No8d ago
KALSHIArgentina — No8d ago$2.0k70.0%KALSHINo Goal — No8d ago
KALSHINo Goal — No8d ago$1.0k71.0%KALSHINo Goal — No8d ago
KALSHINo Goal — No8d ago$1.1k39.0%KALSHISpain — No8d ago
KALSHISpain — No8d agoVolume trend
$2.1MJul 165d of dataJul 20
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In the upcoming match between Spain and Argentina, scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
- This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
- If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither".
- This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.