PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Up
Resolved: Sep 15, 2026, 8:16 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 16, 2026, 10:55 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Up 100%+50.5pt
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleSep 14, 26, 12:01 PM UTCSep 15, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Up100%
Down0%
100%
0%
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for South Korea ETF (EWY) on September 15, 2026 is higher than the Close price for South Korea ETF (EWY) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for South Korea ETF (EWY) on September 15, 2026 is lower than the Close price for South Korea ETF (EWY) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If South Korea ETF (EWY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
