PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability240-259 28%+5.0%Leader of 26 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$380.4K
Liquidity
$420.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.2% / 3.3%
Spread
3.1%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jun 20, 26, 4:09 AMJun 30, 26, 4:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
240-25928%
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This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 23 12:00 PM ET to June 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.