PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability<-4% 33%-0.1%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$40.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
32.7% / 33.7%
Spread
3.1%
Moderate spread7d Change
+22.7%
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jun 1, 26, 10:26 PMJun 25, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
<-4%33%
Related Markets
Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026
$7K6.0%–6.9%: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026
$10.3K40.0–42.9: 34%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Largest company end of June 2026?
$2.6KNVIDIA: 93%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Epic Games' valuation hit __ by June 30?
$487.2↓$12.5B: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US housing starts for May
$45.6Above 1.400M: 81%
KALSHI
KALSHI
US retail sales in May
$10.8Above 0.0%: 79%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Wall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto News
JPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto News
BlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindesk
Can the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto News
Amazon signs Corning fiber deal to expand U.S. data centersCrypto News
Bitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsRules
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported by the U.S.
- Census Bureau.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the month-over-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported in the Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders published by the U.S.
- The resolution source for this market will be the U.S.
- Census Bureau's Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders released for May 2026 (https://www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3/adv/current/index.html), currently scheduled to be released on June 25, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.