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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Business & Corporate
  3. US housing starts for May
US housing starts for May

US housing starts for May

13.0% (24h)MonthlyBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy5d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 1.400M
Above 1.400M 81%-13.0%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$34.4

Liquidity

$460

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

80.0% / 81.0%

Spread

1.3%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

May 21, 26, 7:00 PMJun 16, 26, 12:29 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 1.400M81%

Rules

If US housing starts for May 2026 is above 1.375M, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The value is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S.
  • Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for May 2026 (as displayed on Trading Economics).
  • If the May 2026 release is delayed or rescheduled, the market will resolve based on the first official publication of the May 2026 Housing Starts value.
  • If US housing starts for May 2026 is above 1.400M, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US housing starts for May 2026 is above 1.425M, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If US housing starts for May 2026 is above 1.375M, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The value is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S.
  • Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for May 2026 (as displayed on Trading Economics).
  • If the May 2026 release is delayed or rescheduled, the market will resolve based on the first official publication of the May 2026 Housing Starts value.
  • If US housing starts for May 2026 is above 1.400M, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US housing starts for May 2026 is above 1.425M, then the market resolves to Yes.