Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: NVIDIA (99.8%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastNVIDIA 99.8%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
61
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 days ago
StaleJan 3, 26, 10:46 AMJun 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
NVIDIA99.8%
Apple0%
Alphabet (Google)0.1%
Microsoft0%
Amazon0.1%
Meta0.3%
Tesla0.1%
Other0.1%
99.8%
0%
0.1%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· NVIDIA
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall82% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $30.8K | $0 | 26 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 100% | — | — | — | 19 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Largest Company end of June?
0.6 ptsClosed
Resolved
NVIDIA (100%)
+0.6pt100%
-0.6pt0%
0%
+25 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$24.6M
24h Vol$30.8K
POLYMARKETRules
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap at market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com
- @sUg2l62NZU (this market)
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap at market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com
- @sUg2l62NZU (this market)