Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNVIDIA 0.3%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
43
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jun 1, 26, 7:24 PMAug 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
0.3%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Apple1%
Compare venues· Alphabet (Google)
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall88% match · auto | Medium | 99% | — | $6.1K | $207.2K | 21 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 99% | — | — | — | 21 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
3rd Largest Company end of July?
0.3%5d
-0.1%99%
50%
50%
+26 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$308K
24h Vol$6.1K
POLYMARKETRules
This market will resolve to the third largest company in the world by market cap at the end of July 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com
- @I6u0A6AlS0 (this market)
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.6k93.0%POLYMARKETWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — Yes0F626d ago
POLYMARKETWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — Yes0F626d ago$1.1k89.0%POLYMARKETWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — YesANASTESE6d ago
POLYMARKETWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — YesANASTESE6d agoVolume trend
$252Jul 819d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
30T market cap company before 2027?
$150Yes: 2.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS2nd largest company end of August 2026?
$84.2NVIDIA: 21.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSLargest company end of August 2026?
$73.7NVIDIA: 70.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31?
$50.4↓$17.5B: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?
$16.6Stripe: 27%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Dubai Real Estate Index reach a new all-time high in 2026?
$0Yes: 12%
LIMITLESS
LIMITLESSActive in these topics
Related News
Crypto market breakout could accelerate as AI trade cools, analyst saysCointelegraphCrypto market breakout could accelerate as AI trade cools, analyst saysCointelegraph
BIS warns stablecoins could weaken capital controls in emerging marketsCointelegraph
Bitcoin nears seven-week high as stocks ignore Iran strikes, Trump 10% tariff plansCointelegraph
US inflation falls to 3.5% as Bitcoin rebounds toward $65KCrypto News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRules
This market will resolve to the third largest company in the world by market cap at the end of July 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com
- @I6u0A6AlS0 (this market)