PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Alphabet 99%-0.1%Leader of 29 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.5K
Liquidity
$205.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.6% / 0.8%
Spread
33.3%
Wide spread7d Change
-3.4%
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jun 24, 26, 10:15 PMJul 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Alphabet99%
Compare venues· Alphabet
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 99% | — | $8.5K | $205.1K | 21 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets88% match · auto | — | 99% | — | — | — | 21 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
3rd largest company end of July 2026?
5d
+0.1%99%
-0.1%0.6%
0.3%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast43 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.6k93.0%POLYMARKETWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — Yes0F626d ago
POLYMARKETWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — Yes0F626d ago$1.1k89.0%POLYMARKETWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — YesANASTESE6d ago
POLYMARKETWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — YesANASTESE6d agoVolume trend
$8.5kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.