Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 4:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
20-39 100%+13.9ptLeader of 11 outcomes
20-39 100%+13.9ptMarket quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$829.9
Liquidity
$29.6K
High liquidityOpen interest
$2K
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+42.5 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleOct 17, 26, 4:00 AM UTCOct 27, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
60-790%
120-1390%
140-1590%
160-1790%
180-1990%
20-39100%
40-590%
100-1190%
200+0%
80-990%
<200%
20-39100%
100-1190%
120-1390%
140-1590%
160-1790%
180-1990%
200+0%
40-590%
60-790%
80-990%
<20Lost
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between October 20, 12:00 PM ET and October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data".
