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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. AI
  3. Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?
Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?

Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?

46.5% (24h)AIOne-Off
PolymarketPolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.

Current implied probability
1530+
1530+ 100%+36.0%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$103.9K

Liquidity

$0

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 0.1%

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Stale
Jun 9, 26, 1:18 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
1530+
1530+
+36.0%
100%
1520+
1520+
+23.4%
100%
1540+
1540+
-46.5%
0%
1550+
1550+
-33.5%
0%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Claude Mythos model added to the Arena.AI Coding Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the Coding leaderboard.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any Claude model newly added to the leaderboard whose official name includes “Mythos” will qualify.
  • A model whose official name does not include “Mythos” may also qualify if Anthropic officially and unambiguously identifies it as a “Mythos-class” model or substantially similar Mythos variant.
  • Claude models labeled only as Sonnet, Haiku, Opus, or another non-Mythos variant will not qualify unless Anthropic separately provides such official Mythos identification.
  • Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Claude Mythos model added to the Arena.AI Coding Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the Coding leaderboard.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any Claude model newly added to the leaderboard whose official name includes “Mythos” will qualify.
  • A model whose official name does not include “Mythos” may also qualify if Anthropic officially and unambiguously identifies it as a “Mythos-class” model or substantially similar Mythos variant.
  • Claude models labeled only as Sonnet, Haiku, Opus, or another non-Mythos variant will not qualify unless Anthropic separately provides such official Mythos identification.
  • Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.