PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 87%
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
9.0% / 17.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jan 19, 26, 8:34 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes13%
Volume trend
$12Jul 154d of dataJul 25
Related Markets
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$3.9K↑500: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
New pandemic in 2026?
$2KYes: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
$57.8Yes: 4%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Measles cases in 2026?
$3.2KAbove 3000: 94%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Pandemic in 2026?
$2.2KYes: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
$1.4KAbove 20k: 34%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.