When does Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2AM ET resolve?

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2AM ET is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026.

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2AM ET

Bitcoin CryptoDaily

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

This market resolved: Up

Resolved: Oct 4, 2026, 7:11 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Market quality

60 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$26.5K

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Bid / Ask

99.9% / 100.0%

Spread

0.1 pt

Tight spread

Comments

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Oct 2, 26, 6:00 AM UTCOct 4, 26, 7:00 AM UTC

Probability Timeline

Up100%

Down0%

Coin Price Context

Coin price movements are shown for context and do not imply causation.

BTC$84.75K → $84.75K+0.0%

Won

Before close: 100% · Oct 4, 2026, 7:07 AM

Down

Lost

Before close: 0% · Oct 4, 2026, 7:07 AM

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT).
The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.