This market resolved: Down 0-3%
Resolved: Oct 7, 2026, 3:12 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 3:05 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Down 0-3%Won
Down 3-7%Lost
Down >7%Lost
Up 0-3%Lost
Up 3-7%Lost
Up >7%Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment that occurs at the specified block height.
- Block 969,696 is the next difficulty retarget height and is currently expected to be reached on or around October 3, 2026 (ET).
- If the displayed percentage falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes".
- The difficulty adjustment is the percentage change in Bitcoin network difficulty that takes effect at the specified block height, as displayed in the "Change" column of the Adjustments table on the mempool.space Mining Dashboard.
- A positive percentage is an "up" adjustment and a negative percentage is a "down" adjustment.