PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityI Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 99%+2.2%Leader of 19 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1
Liquidity
$9.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.2% / 1.0%
Spread
400.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 1:47 AMJul 14, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift99%
Compare venues· I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall72% match · auto | High | 99% | — | $542.6 | $15.3K | 17 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 99% | — | $1.1 | $9.5K | 21 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
#2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jul 18, 2026?
3h
99%
1%
1%
+26 more outcomes
79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$19.7K
24h Vol$542.6
KALSHIRules
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday).
- Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
- This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 18, 2026”.
- The named songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart.
- If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles.
- This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1Jul 103d of dataJul 12
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Rules
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday).
- Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
- This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 18, 2026”.
- The named songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart.
- If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles.
- This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.