This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Sep 29, 2026, 7:57 AM
Awaiting verified resolution
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Probability Timeline
Completed Match100%
Mannarino vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over74%
Mannarino vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — Over100%
Mannarino vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — Over50%
Set Handicap: Pablo Carreno Busta (-1.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+1.5) — Pablo Carreno Busta100%
Game Spread: Pablo Carreno Busta (-2.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+2.5) — Pablo Carreno Busta100%
Adrian Mannarino0%
Set 1 Winner: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Adrian Mannarino41%
Set 2 Winner: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Adrian Mannarino0%
Adrian Mannarino vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.50%
Mannarino vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — Over50%
Mannarino vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — Over61%
Mannarino vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — Over0%
Mannarino vs. Busta: Match O/U 21.5 — Over0%
Mannarino vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5 — Over0%
Mannarino vs. Busta: Match O/U 23.5 — Over0%
Completed MatchWon
Mannarino vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — OverWon
Mannarino vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — OverWon
Mannarino vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — OverWon
Set Handicap: Pablo Carreno Busta (-1.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+1.5) — Pablo Carreno BustaWon
Game Spread: Pablo Carreno Busta (-2.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+2.5) — Pablo Carreno BustaWon
Adrian MannarinoLost
Set 1 Winner: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Adrian MannarinoLost
Set 2 Winner: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Adrian MannarinoLost
Adrian Mannarino vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.5Lost
Mannarino vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — OverLost
Mannarino vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — OverLost
Mannarino vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — OverLost
Mannarino vs. Busta: Match O/U 21.5 — OverLost
Mannarino vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5 — OverLost
Mannarino vs. Busta: Match O/U 23.5 — OverLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market refers to the tennis match between the named outcome and Pablo Carreno Busta in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'the named outcome' if the named outcome advances against Pablo Carreno Busta.
- This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against the named outcome.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
