PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability$500M 78%+7.5ptLeader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$34.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
75.0% / 81.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spread7d Change
+7.5 pts
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
May 12, 26, 9:29 PMJan 1, 28, 5:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
$500M78%
Volume trend
$1.9kJul 225d of dataJul 29
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
- The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
- The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
- "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch.
- The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available.