PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
15% to 24% 80%Leader of 6 outcomes
15% to 24% 80%Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$93.9
Liquidity
$26.8
Low liquiditySpread
73.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 1:00 PM UTCOct 8, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Indiana corn yield exceed 205 bushels per acre in 2027?
KalshiWill the global average yield of corn exceed 5.9 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExWill the global average yield of corn exceed 5.96 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExWill the global average yield of corn exceed 6.01 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExWill the global average yield of corn exceed 6.06 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported D1-D4 drought percentage for corn acreage in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 6, 2026.
- Brackets: Under 15% / 15% to 24% / 25% to 34% / 35% to 44% / 45% to 54% / the named outcome.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- D1-D4 is the cumulative share of national corn acreage in moderate drought (D1) or worse, which is the "D1-D4" column the source publishes.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
- The first value published for that week is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff.