PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
55% or more 36%Leader of 6 outcomes
55% or more 36%Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$135
Liquidity
$8.1
Low liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 1:00 PM UTCOct 8, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported D1-D4 drought percentage for cattle inventory in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 6, 2026.
- Brackets: Under 15% / 15% to 24% / 25% to 34% / 35% to 44% / 45% to 54% / the named outcome.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- D1-D4 is the cumulative share of national cattle inventory in moderate drought (D1) or worse, which is the "D1-D4" column the source publishes.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
- The first value published for that week is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff.