PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
OpenAI 96%-0.1%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$798.8
Liquidity
$17.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
94.2% / 98.6%
Spread
4.7%
Moderate spread7d Change
+0.5%
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jun 30, 26, 4:07 PMAug 1, 26, 6:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
OpenAI96%
Volume trend
$799Jul 223d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to the listed company with the second largest private market valuation on July 31, 2026.
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on August 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on August 4, 2026.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
- If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only.