Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (98.2%)
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 12:08 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 5:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes1.8%
No98.2%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Resolves YES if the front-month WTI crude oil continuous contract has a DAILY CLOSING (settlement) price at or below $65.00 per barrel on any trading day from market creation through Wednesday 2026-09-30 inclusive, according to MarketWatch crude oil continuous contract CL.1 (https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/cl.1) historical data.
- Otherwise NO.
- Notes on resolution: (1) CLOSING price only - an intraday print at or below $65.00 that does not close there does NOT count.
- (2) At or below means
