What are the current odds for Will William MacAskill ever win the Nobel Peace Prize??

Manifold Markets prices No at 96.4% as of October 27, 2026.

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Will William MacAskill ever win the Nobel Peace Prize?

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Current community forecast

No 96.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

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Forecast

Market data

Updated 16 hours ago

Stale

Sep 17, 22, 6:27 PM UTCMar 24, 87, 3:59 AM UTC

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Outcome24hChance

Rules

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_MacAskill

Sep 21, 9:43pm: Resolves no if he dies without the Nobel Peace Prize.

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Will William MacAskill ever win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Will William MacAskill ever win the Nobel Peace Prize?

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