What are the current odds for Will US test scores reach new highs by 2050??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 58.5% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will US test scores reach new highs by 2050? resolve?

Will US test scores reach new highs by 2050? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2050.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningSource data degraded

Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

Yes 58.5%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Stale

Dec 12, 23, 11:19 PM UTCJan 2, 50, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

According to the NAEP Long Term Trend Assessment[1] in 13-year old math, the peak year was 2012, with an average score of 285.