Will there be a Fortune 500 company with 10 employees or fewer?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will there be a Fortune 500 company with 10 employees or fewer??

Manifold Markets prices No, never (or after 2050) at 44.7% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will there be a Fortune 500 company with 10 employees or fewer? resolve?

Will there be a Fortune 500 company with 10 employees or fewer? is scheduled to resolve on January 18, 2028.

How is Will there be a Fortune 500 company with 10 employees or fewer? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Provided AI will take most of our jobs, when is a probable time for super small companies to be part of the Fortune 500 list? Fortune 500 is a list of the largest companies in the USA based on revenue.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $77,000 or above98.5%
• $78,500 or above98.5%
• $77,500 or above99%

+77 more outcomes

Total Vol

$505.3K

24h Vol

$501.6K

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 25, 2026 at 5am EDT?

• $80,100 or above98.5%
• $80,000 or above98.5%
• $79,500 or above99.5%

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $69,000 or above98.5%
• $71,000 or above98%
• $73,000 or above-1.0pt96.5%

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?

• 65-89+18.5pt56.6%
• 90-114+12.0pt26.3%
• 40-64-32.0pt9.1%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 80,000 to 84,999.99+0.9pt15.7%
• 75,000 to 79,999.99+1.3pt15.6%
• 85,000 to 89,999.99+1.1pt

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?

• 280-299+3.0pt18.8%
• 300-319+4.5pt17.8%
• 320-339+6.0pt13.9%

+27 more outcomes

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