Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 25, 2026, 6:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 88.2%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleJan 3, 26, 7:05 PMDec 31, 26, 7:01 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes12%
Volume trend
$500Jul 134d of dataJul 25
Related Markets
Brazil Presidential Election
$179.8KLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 64%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$153.2KNicolás Maduro: 83%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by which date?
$90.8KJuly 31: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential election winner?
$37.6KFlávio Bolsonaro: 24%
KALSHI
KALSHIWhich teams will qualify for the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$21.9KFrance: 93%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Gimnasia La Plata vs River Plate
$12.4KRiver Plate: 45%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Brazil stablecoins face IMF scrutiny as crypto flows outpace capitalCrypto News
Argentina peso stablecoins take shape as BIND and Petersen advance projectsCrypto News
Trump targets Brazil’s Pix as dollar stablecoins gain groundCrypto News
Trump targets Brazil's payments system while dollar stablecoins are quietly overtaking country's paymentsCoindesk
Tether backs Argentine fintech Ualá with reported $20M investmentCrypto News
Polymarket boosts Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race after Trump tariff shockBlockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.