Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 81.3%
Forecasters
40
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleOct 14, 22, 11:11 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.