What are the current odds for Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050??

Manifold Markets prices No at 58% as of September 27, 2026.

Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050?

One-OffSociety & Culture

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 58%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Stale

May 3, 23, 5:37 PM UTCFeb 3, 53, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Rules

According to the US Census Bureau.

Resolves YES if the The census bureau population estimate for 2050 is lower than their estimate for 2049.
Resolves NO if it is higher

Report a data issue with this market

Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050?

One-OffSociety & Culture

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 58%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Stale

May 3, 23, 5:37 PM UTCFeb 3, 53, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will U.S. meat consumption decline by 50%+ by 2040?

Manifold Markets

Will pet ownership decline in the US from 2023 to 2025-2026?

Manifold Markets

Who will be accepted to join the Fire Department for the September round?

Manifold Markets

Will I find a wife by the end of 2027?

Manifold Markets

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Polymarket

Next unique country Tetra visits after 10th September 2026

Manifold Markets

Rules

According to the US Census Bureau.

Resolves YES if the The census bureau population estimate for 2050 is lower than their estimate for 2049.
Resolves NO if it is higher

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050??: Manifold Markets prices No at 58% as of September 27, 2026.
When does Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050? resolve?: Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050? is scheduled to resolve on February 3, 2053.
How is Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: According to the US Census Bureau.

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https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/will-the-population-of-the-usa-decl

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Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050?

Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050?

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

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