Will the German Day-Ahead electricity baseload price for October 15, 2026, be below €185/MWh?
WeatherDailyCommodities
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (93.1%)
Resolved: Oct 15, 2026, 12:11 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 14, 2026, 3:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?
Manifold Markets8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsHow high will the US national average gas price get in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Copper Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
KalshiWill the price of oil reach $150 before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill global peak oil production occur before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market predicts whether the German-Luxembourg (DE-LU) Day-Ahead electricity baseload price for October 15, 2026, will be strictly below €185/MWh.
- The result will be determined using the arithmetic average of the 96 quarter-hourly Day-Ahead auction prices for the delivery date.
- YES if the daily average is below €185/MWh.
- NO if the daily average is €185/MWh or higher.
- Official data source: EPEX SPOT Day-Ahead auction results, Germany-Luxembourg bidding zone, also published through SMARD (German Federal Network Agency).
- The market must close on October 14, 2026, at 11:00 AM Berlin time (CEST), before the Day-Ahead auction closes and its results become publicly available.
