Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 87.5%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleApr 9, 23, 10:15 PM UTCDec 31, 40, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
In this prediction market, participants will bet on whether the first official soccer match officiated entirely by artificial intelligence (AI) will take place before January 1, 2040.
- For this market to resolve as "Yes," there must be a verifiable soccer match at a professional level, in which all referee decisions are made by an AI system with no human intervention.
- This includes decisions such as awarding fouls, penalties, offsides, and goal confirmations.
- The match must be recognized and sanctioned by an official governing body (e.g., FIFA, UEFA, CONMEBOL, etc.) or a recognized national soccer association.
- The market will resolve as "No" if no such match takes place before the specified date.
- Resolution will be based on credible news reports and announcements from relevant organizations.
