Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 1:24 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 86%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJul 12, 26, 7:40 PM UTCJun 18, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Codeforces user susvent achieves an official rating of 1900 or higher (the minimum threshold for the Candidate Master rank) in any rated contest that finishes and has its rating changes finalized on or before June 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Source of Truth: The official Codeforces profile page for susvent.
- Timing and Finalization: The rating change must be officially published and finalized on the user's Codeforces profile before the deadline.
- If a contest takes place before the deadline but its rating calculations are delayed and finalized on or after June 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC, that contest's rating update will not count.
