Current community forecast
No 59%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJun 5, 26, 3:46 PM UTCDec 31, 31, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, during any officially sanctioned Enhanced Games event taking place before January 1, 2032, a competitor runs the Men's 100-meter sprint in an official time of 9.57 seconds or faster (breaking Usain Bolt's world record of 9.58 seconds).
- The result must be officially recorded and validated by the Enhanced Games organization, regardless of whether standard athletics governing bodies (such as World Athletics) recognize the record.
- Because the Enhanced Games do not adhere to traditional athletic federation rules, any official time that the organization formally accepts as a record-breaking performance—including times with wind assistance or on indoor/non-standard tracks—will qualify for a YES resolution.
- This market resolves to NO if no competitor officially runs a time of 9.57 seconds or faster in a Men's 100m sprint at an Enhanced Games event prior to January 1, 2032.
- If the Enhanced Games is dissolved, permanently cancelled, or ceases to host a Men's 100m sprint event before January 1, 2032, this market will resolve to NO (it will not resolve as N/A).
Open markets
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
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+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Total Vol
- $18.1K
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will someone break the Usain Bolt World Record in the 100 Meter Dash at Enhanced Games before 2032??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 59% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will someone break the Usain Bolt World Record in the 100 Meter Dash at Enhanced Games before 2032? resolve?
- Will someone break the Usain Bolt World Record in the 100 Meter Dash at Enhanced Games before 2032? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2031.
- How is Will someone break the Usain Bolt World Record in the 100 Meter Dash at Enhanced Games before 2032? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria