Will SBF, Ryan Salame, or Caroline Ellison place a trade on a prediction market within a year after their release?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will SBF, Ryan Salame, or Caroline Ellison place a trade on a prediction market within a year after their release??

Manifold Markets prices No at 53.4% as of October 11, 2026.

When does Will SBF, Ryan Salame, or Caroline Ellison place a trade on a prediction market within a year after their release? resolve?

Will SBF, Ryan Salame, or Caroline Ellison place a trade on a prediction market within a year after their release? is scheduled to resolve on March 10, 2048.

How is Will SBF, Ryan Salame, or Caroline Ellison place a trade on a prediction market within a year after their release? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2026-03-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolves based on whether each person places a trade within one year after their individual release date (not a single shared deadline).

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server: