Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 84.5%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleNov 17, 23, 10:06 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Geoff Anders (Director at Leverage Research) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWhat will Sam Altman say during NYT DealBook Summit?
KalshiSam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiRules
Resolves YES if Sam Altman is criminally charged with a felony crime in the US before 2030.
- Otherwise NO.
- See also: https://manifold.markets/post/felony-charges-in-crypto
- This question will use the earliest time the charges are officially announced or reported by reliable media publications.
- Timezone is Eastern time
- Grand jury indictment counts.
