Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 19, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 14.7%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 days ago
StaleJun 24, 26, 7:46 PMJul 31, 30, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes15%
Volume trend
$50Jul 182d of dataJul 19
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