Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 25, 2026, 7:43 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 14.7%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 30 days ago
StaleJun 10, 26, 4:52 PMJul 31, 30, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes15%
Related Markets
Who will be the top goalscorer at the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$409.5Kylian Mbappe: 7.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
SE Palmeiras SP vs Atletico Mineiro MG: First Team to Score
$83No Goal: 7%
KALSHI
KALSHIRed Bull Bragantino SP vs Coritiba FC PR: First Team to Score
$63No Goal: 6%KALSHI
KALSHIWho will win the Ballon D’Or 2026?
$36Lamine Yamal: 27.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Italy Qualify for the next FIFA World Cup?
$27.7Yes: 74.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSClube do Remo PA vs EC Vitoria BA: First Team to Score
$0Clube do Remo PA: 0%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds: Kane jumps to 41% in 2026 Ballon d'Or marketBlockchain.News
Worldcoin’s WLD Jumps 8% on Grayscale ETF FilingDecrypt
Grayscale files for Worldcoin ETF as WLD price breaks higherCrypto News
Grayscale could take Worldcoin to Wall Street after ETF filing with the SECThe Block
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
Prediction markets just crushed traditional sportsbooks in a massive $50 billion World Cup breakoutCoindeskRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.